Stalemate, Setup, or Counter-Counterattack? The Weird Winter of the Russia-Ukraine War

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Thus far, neither Ukraine nor Russia has made much progress during the winter. What is actually going on? This video surveys four possibilities. On one extreme, Ukraine may be trapping Russia into attacking at high losses with few gains. On the other extreme, Russia may be engaging in a true counter-counterattack, and Ukraine will soon be put on its backfoot. We may also just be observing winter or a true stalemate.

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0:00 What's Happening in Ukraine?
5:11 It's Just Winter
8:07 Ukraine Is Setting a Trap
14:36 A True Stalemate
18:41 A Russian Counter-Counterattack
24:52 A Russian Preventive Attack

The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.

Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/):

From Kremlin.ru:
http://20.kremlin.ru/en/2000
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/50329
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53857
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53936
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53940
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55063
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55644
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/57416
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/57436
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/security-council/58065
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/59455
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/60490
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/60806
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/61584
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62983
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66191
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66675
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/67061
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/68016
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/68366
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/68691
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69390
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69465
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70315
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70341
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70414
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70430

Media licensed under CC BY 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/):

From Government of Russia:
http://archive.government.ru/eng/docs/12281/

Media licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/):

From Ministry of Defense of Ukraine:
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26206896373
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26504221874
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/30825537757

From Army Inform Ukraine:
https://armyinform.com.ua/2022/07/04/himars-vpevneno-demilitaryzuyut-rosijsku-okupaczijnu-armiyu/
https://armyinform.com.ua/2022/09/25/soledar-frontove-misto-na-donechchyni-opalene-ruskim-mirom/